Probability

Tier Probabilities and Payouts Table

Tier
Selection Chance
Win Chance
Payout (% of Pool)

Common

40.0%

41.4%

0.0455%

Rare

30.0%

45.1%

0.0121%

Epic

15.0%

21.3%

0.0075%

Legendary

5.0%

22.1%

0.10%

Jackpot

10.0%

0.06%

5.00%

Where Wagers Go:


🧠 Expected Value & Pool Dynamics

The lootbox pool grows steadily with each play, while also paying out occasional wins. Because both wins and losses are always a percentage of the current pool, the system naturally balances itself over time.

After enough plays:

  • The pool reaches a stable average size.

  • Large wins (like jackpot hits) are still possible, but remain rare.

  • Most plays either contribute to the pool or result in smaller wins, ensuring sustainability.

This structure ensures players always have a shot at meaningful rewards, without draining the system — even during periods of high activity.

Last updated

Was this helpful?